The Massive Incentives for Pediatricians to Vaccinate May Finally Be Ending

​How Federal Policy Is Beginning to Expose Vaccine Payment Incentives in Pediatrics

The massive financial incentives for pediatricians to vaccinate infants and children with as many vaccines as possible may soon be coming to an end.

In an important post titled “BREAKING: HHS ANNOUNCES TECTONIC SHIFT IN CMS VACCINE UPTAKE TRACKING FOR PEDIATRIC VACCINES,” published January 1, 2026, by James Lyons-Weiler, PhD, a long-overdue change was announced.

“CMS just took a shot at vaccine incentive systems. Dr. Thomas and I exposed the perverse and misaligned incentives in 2021. Now HHS has acted to end backing the practice with federal dollars.”

​After years of warnings from researchers about unethical and coercive payment structures embedded in pediatric and prenatal care, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) issued State Health Official Letter SHO #25-005. This directive removes four key immunization-status measures from the 2026 Medicaid and CHIP Core Sets, effectively dismantling a major mechanism used to financially pressure physicians into meeting vaccine benchmarks.

In 2021, James Lyons-Weiler and I published a peer-reviewed paper in the International Journal of Vaccine Theory, Practice, and Research titled:

“Vaccine Practice Payment Schedules Create Perverse Incentives for Unnecessary Medical Procedures—At What Cost to Patients?”

As part of that research, we conducted a 30-day billing analysis at my pediatric practice—one that honored informed consent and allowed families to choose some, none, or all CDC-recommended vaccines. Using real reimbursement data and actual superbills, we demonstrated that when patients declined CDC-scheduled vaccines, the practice faced projected annual losses exceeding one million dollars.

​At the time, my practice served approximately 15,000 active patients and generated roughly $3 million in gross annual billings. Pediatric practices that accept insurance typically operate with 70–80% overhead, making this financial reality untenable. I was forced to cut employee pay, lost valued staff members, and experienced years in which my own income as the sole owner was either negative or barely sustainable. Instituting a modest practice fee was the only way we were able to keep the doors open.

​What shocked us most was the magnitude of the so-called “administration fee.” This was the only vaccine-related income tracked in our study—yet the financial penalties for ethical practice were severe, real, and fully documented. These losses were not theoretical. They represented a measurable punishment for practicing medicine with integrity.

What the study did not include were the additional financial incentives layered on top of vaccine administration, including:

• Bonuses for achieving high rates of “fully vaccinated” two-year-olds (with incentives varying by insurance carrier)
• Bonus payments on all office services for meeting vaccine benchmarks
• Financial penalties—such as reduced reimbursement across the board—or even removal from insurance networks for failing to meet vaccine-based “quality” measures

​Vaccines are also tightly tied to well-child visits. Many insurance carriers offer substantial bonuses for high volumes of these visits, which often function as vaccine appointments disguised as preventive care. In the United States, infants typically have well visits at birth, a few days later, at two weeks, and at 2, 4, 6, 9, and 12 months of age. These visits are commonly reimbursed at $200–$300 per visit.

​At an average of $250 per visit, seven visits in the first year alone amount to $1,750 per infant. During my years in practice, I routinely saw more than 30 new infants per month. That translates to approximately $630,000 annually in first-year well-visit reimbursements alone. While it is true that pediatric care is labor-intensive and expensive to deliver, the financial incentives tied to vaccination volume are undeniable.

​Our data comparing vaccinated and unvaccinated children showed that vaccinated children experienced significantly higher rates of illness, resulting in more office visits for infections, chronic conditions, neurodevelopmental disorders, asthma, eczema, and more. Increased vaccination also correlated with increased sick visits and long-term disease management. Pediatricians who do not vaccinate consistently report the opposite experience—their patients are healthier, allowing them to focus on true wellness rather than chronic disease management.

​CMS’s recent action represents an important acknowledgment of these realities:

“The U.S. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services issued SHO #25-005, removing four key immunization-status measures from the 2026 Medicaid/CHIP Core Sets. This action acknowledges that not all metrics measure quality—and that ethics cannot be reduced to a performance score.”
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“We now have documented federal recognition that quantity-driven vaccine incentives may be not only insufficient, but harmful.”

If quality measures are going to exist, they must reflect actual health outcomes, not blind adherence to protocols or prescribing behavior. Today, metrics often reward how well a physician prescribes asthma or ADHD medications rather than how effectively children remain healthy in the first place.

​2026 must be the year of a massive awakening and a true paradigm shift. It is time to celebrate the innate immune strength of unvaccinated children and reject the fear-based narratives of a broken establishment that has profited from policies that place incentives above ethics and children’s health.

Dr. Paul (retired)

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Citation
Lyons-Weiler J, Thomas P. Vaccine Practice Payment Schedules Create Perverse Incentives for Unnecessary Medical Procedures—At What Cost to Patients?
International Journal of Vaccine Theory, Practice, and Research. 2021;2(1):25–37.
https://doi.org/10.56098/ijvtpr.v2i1.21

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